- By no means, underneath any circumstance add to a shedding place …. ever! Nothing extra want be stated; to do in any other case will finally and completely result in smash!
- Commerce like a mercenary guerrilla. We should battle on the profitable facet and be prepared to vary sides readily when one facet has gained the higher hand.
- Capital is available in two varieties: Psychological and that which is in your pocket or account. Of the 2 varieties of capital, the psychological is the extra necessary and costly of the 2. Holding to shedding positions prices measurable sums of precise capital, but it surely prices immeasurable sums of psychological capital.
- The target is to not purchase low and promote excessive, however to purchase excessive and to promote greater. We are able to by no means know what value is “low.” Nor can we all know what value is “excessive.” At all times do not forget that sugar as soon as fell from $1.25/lb to 2 cent/lb and appeared “low cost” many occasions alongside the way in which.
- In bull markets we are able to solely be lengthy or impartial, and in bear markets we are able to solely be brief or impartial. Which will appear self-evident; it’s not, and it’s a lesson realized too late by far too many.
- “Markets can stay illogical longer than you or I can stay solvent,” in accordance with our good pal, Dr. A. Gary Shilling. Illogic usually reigns and markets are enormously inefficient regardless of what the teachers imagine.
- Promote markets that present the best weak point, and purchase those who present the best power. Metaphorically, when bearish, throw your rocks into the wettest paper sack, for they break most readily. In bull markets, we have to journey upon the strongest winds… they shall carry us greater than shall lesser ones.
- Attempt to commerce the primary day of a niche, for gaps normally point out violent new motion. We’ve come to respect “gaps” in our practically thirty years of watching markets; once they occur (particularly in shares) they’re normally essential.
- Buying and selling runs in cycles: some good; most unhealthy. Commerce giant and aggressively when buying and selling nicely; commerce small and modestly when buying and selling poorly. In “good occasions,” even errors are worthwhile; in “unhealthy occasions” even probably the most nicely researched trades go awry. That is the character of buying and selling; settle for it.
- To commerce efficiently, assume like a fundamentalist; commerce like a technician. It’s crucial that we perceive the basics driving a commerce, but additionally that we perceive the market’s technicals. After we do, then, and solely then, can we or ought to we, commerce.
- Respect “exterior reversals” after prolonged bull or bear runs. Reversal days on the charts sign the ultimate exhaustion of the bullish or bearish forces that drove the market beforehand. Respect them, and respect much more “weekly” and “month-to-month, reversals.
- Preserve your technical methods easy. Sophisticated methods breed confusion; simplicity breeds magnificence.
- Respect and embrace the very regular 50-62% retracements that take costs again to main developments. If a commerce is missed, wait patiently for the market to retrace. Far as a rule, retracements occur … simply as we’re about to surrender hope that they shall not.
- An understanding of mass psychology is usually extra necessary than an understanding of economics. Markets are pushed by human beings making human errors and in addition making super-human insights.
- Set up preliminary positions on power in bull markets and on weak point in bear markets. The primary “addition” also needs to be added on power because the market exhibits the development to be working. Henceforth, subsequent additions are to be added on retracements.
- Bear markets are extra violent than are bull markets and so are also their retracements.
- Be affected person with profitable trades; be enormously impatient with shedding trades. Bear in mind it’s fairly attainable to make giant sums buying and selling/investing if we’re “proper” solely 30% of the time, so long as our losses are small and our earnings are giant.
- The market is the sum whole of the knowledge … and the ignorance … of all of those that deal in it; and we dare not argue with the market’s knowledge. If we be taught nothing greater than this we have realized a lot certainly.
- Do extra of that which is working and fewer of that which isn’t: If a market is powerful, purchase extra; if a market is weak, promote extra. New highs are to be purchased; new lows bought.
- The onerous commerce is the suitable commerce: Whether it is straightforward to promote, do not; and whether it is straightforward to purchase, do not. Do the commerce that’s onerous to do and that which the gang finds objectionable. Peter Steidelmeyer taught us this twenty-five years in the past and it holds more true now than then.